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Predicting the 1st round of NFL draft

Tuesday - 4/23/2013, 4:12pm  ET

Pittsburgh Steelers head coach Mike Tomlin talks about their team's needs during a news conference on Monday, April 22, 2013 concerning the upcoming NFL football draft in Pittsburgh. (AP Photo/Keith Srakocic)

BARRY WILNER
AP Pro Football Writer

NEW YORK (AP) -- Get me out of here.

Maneuvering to move down in Thursday night's first round of the draft will be a common behind-the-scenes scramble. There simply are few franchise-type players teams will be enamored of, yet plenty of depth to make picking up extra picks later on a worthwhile strategy.

The big bodies will dominate the opening round. Look for 17 of them to go in the top 32 at Radio City Music Hall.

The mock draft presumes no trades (but 100 percent accuracy).

___

1. KANSAS CITY (2-14)

The Chiefs already have their quarterback -- not that it is worth taking one at the top this year -- and a good running game. The guy who could be the cornerstone for the entire offense, as well as QB Alex Smith's protector for next few years, plays left tackle.

LUKE JOECKEL, OT, TEXAS A&M

2. JACKSONVILLE (2-14)

Unlike the Chiefs, the Jaguars are virtually devoid of talent everywhere. So anyone they choose will be an upgrade. There's talk they could jettison Blaine Gabbert, their first-round pick two years ago, and go for Geno Smith at quarterback. They'd love to trade down, but if not, they'll upgrade the pass rush and defensive athleticism instead.

DION JORDAN, DE-OLB, OREGON

3. OAKLAND (4-12)

By far the worst team in drafts over the last decade. But now there's a new regime under Reggie McKenzie, who learned his trade in Green Bay, one of the best drafting clubs of recent years. Like Jacksonville, Oakland could go anywhere with this pick, but is less likely to look to move down.

ERIC FISHER, OT, CENTRAL MICHIGAN

4. PHILADELPHIA (4-12)

The Chip Kelly no-holds-barred, breakneck offense needs speedy playmakers, something the Eagles already have. What they don't have: enough bigtime defenders. They go for a huge one in ...

SHARRIF FLOYD, DT, FLORIDA

5. DETROIT (4-12)

Coming off a distressing collapse in which they gave up 437 points, the Lions must find a way to close the wide-open door to their end zone. They're fortunate to have several options here, and go for the pass rusher.

ZIGGY ANSAH, DE, BYU

6. CLEVELAND (5-11)

After holding their breath that the cornerback they seek will be on the board -- the previous three teams all have a need there -- the Browns can exhale and call the name ...

DEE MILLINER, CB, ALABAMA

7. ARIZONA (5-11)

If they can't trade down, the Cardinals won't have to swallow hard to upgrade their offensive line with a proven winner and another Crimson Tide player.

CHANCE WARMACK, G, ALABAMA

8. BUFFALO (6-10)

Every team puts up smoke screens before the draft. And the Bills sure seem to have polluted the air with them because we think they aren't convinced Kevin Kolb or Tarvaris Jackson is more than a backup or fill-in QB. So the first quarterback off the board is ...

GENO SMITH, QB, WEST VIRGINIA

9. NEW YORK JETS (6-10)

Having finally dealt Darrelle Revis, the Jets could look at a cornerback here, perhaps FSU's Xavier Rhodes. And, yes, they might have considered Smith. But someone who can get to the quarterback from the outside is a must for Rex Ryan's defense.

BARKEVIOUS MINGO, DE-OLB, LSU

10. TENNESSEE (6-10)

The Titans sang a sour song on defense all through 2012, so it's time to fix some of that in Music City. They might look at the offensive line, but their needs are so hefty on D, and there are lots of solid prospects on the board. Such as ...

JARVIS JONES, LB, GEORGIA

11. SAN DIEGO (7-9)

Another team starting over after the talent base was erased by ill-advised moves in the last few years. New coach Mike McCoy is offense-minded, and he sees all the holes on the line.

LANE JOHNSON, OT, OKLAHOMA

12. MIAMI (7-9)

Yet another team needing blocking help. After the Dolphins made so many splashes in free agency, they can afford to fill a void, especially when one of the better offensive linemen still is available.

JONATHAN COOPER, G, NORTH CAROLINA

13. NEW YORK JETS (6-10)

They didn't miss on Rhodes, but they will consider an offensive playmaker here such as Tavon Austin or DeAndre Hopkins. In the end, the back end on defense will be the target, and because this seems too high to take a safety, New York grabs ...

XAVIER RHODES, CB, FLORIDA STATE

14. CAROLINA (7-9)

The Panthers will be tempted to go back to the big guys. Then they will spot the little guy with the game-breaking skills on kick returns, as a receiver and even perhaps in a version of the wildcat. They can't resist ...

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