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Does The Street Have ArcelorMittal Figured Out?

Friday - 2/1/2013, 12:05pm  ET

ArcelorMittal is expected to report Q4 earnings on Feb. 6. Here's what Wall Street wants to see:

The 10-second takeaway
Comparing the upcoming quarter to the prior-year quarter, average analyst estimates predict ArcelorMittal's revenues will contract -16.5% and EPS will remain in the red.

The average estimate for revenue is $18.74 billion. On the bottom line, the average EPS estimate is -$2.78.

Revenue details
Last quarter, ArcelorMittal reported revenue of $19.72 billion. GAAP reported sales were 19% lower than the prior-year quarter's $24.21 billion.

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Quarterly periods. Dollar amounts in millions. Non-GAAP figures may vary to maintain comparability with estimates.

EPS details
Last quarter, non-GAAP EPS came in at -$0.31. GAAP EPS were -$0.46 for Q3 against $0.19 per share for the prior-year quarter.

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Quarterly periods. Non-GAAP figures may vary to maintain comparability with estimates.

Recent performance
For the preceding quarter, gross margin was 6.8%, 310 basis points worse than the prior-year quarter. Operating margin was 0.9%, 430 basis points worse than the prior-year quarter. Net margin was -3.6%, 630 basis points worse than the prior-year quarter.

Looking ahead

The full year's average estimate for revenue is $84.41 billion. The average EPS estimate is -$1.89.

Investor sentiment
The stock has a four-star rating (out of five) at Motley Fool CAPS, with 2,051 members out of 2,112 rating the stock outperform, and 61 members rating it underperform. Among 482 CAPS All-Star picks (recommendations by the highest-ranked CAPS members), 471 give ArcelorMittal a green thumbs-up, and 11 give it a red thumbs-down.

Of Wall Street recommendations tracked by S&P Capital IQ, the average opinion on ArcelorMittal is outperform, with an average price target of $25.50.

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This article was originally published as Does The Street Have ArcelorMittal Figured Out?on Fool.com

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